Chip Revolution Drives Smart Driving's Future
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In the ever-evolving world of automotive technology, the phenomenon of intelligent driving systems is now at the forefrontAmong the players in this race, BYD has emerged as a key innovator, introducing its advanced "Heavenly Eye" series of intelligent driving systemsThis groundbreaking initiative marks a significant milestone in the widespread adoption of advanced driver assistance features across their vehicle lineupThe "Heavenly Eye" is classified into three distinct tiers: A, B, and C, each catering to various brands under BYD's umbrellaNotably, the A tier, referred to as the high-end DiPilot 600, is primarily utilized by the luxury sub-brand Yangwang, while the B tier (DiPilot 300) is employed across BYD and other mainstream brands like DenzaThe C tier, DiPilot 100, also finds its application in BYD's vehicle offerings.
According to BYD's founder, Wang Chuanfu, this ambitious undertaking allows for zero driver intervention on highways and promises an experience as smooth as that of experienced drivers in urban environmentsAs a testament to BYD's prowess in the intelligent driving sector, their proprietary Xuanzhu framework is now fully engaged with DeepSeek, which seamlessly integrates vehicle-based AI with cloud-based AI systems, significantly enhancing the overall intelligence of BYD automobiles.
Wang asserts that the convergence of AI capabilities ensures that the "Heavenly Eye C" model will soon support 'memory navigation' features that can recall urban routes, with the plan for an OTA push later this yearThe ambitious integration of intelligent driving features into over 100,000 models across their range is set to elevate standards and expectations in the automotive industry significantlyThe first batch alone introduces 21 models equipped with state-of-the-art computational frameworks, including advanced radar and camera systemsWang's forward-thinking statement that "in 2025, intelligent driving will be a critical factor when purchasing a car" reflects the rapid shift we are witnessing.
The ripple effect caused by BYD's drive towards technological excellence is compelling competitors to hasten the development and deployment of similar functionalities, particularly on highways with Navigation On Autopilot (NOA) capabilities
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Notably, although BYD began as a follower in terms of feature rollout, it now stands as a leading catalyst propelling the widespread integration of intelligent driving technologiesThe strategic directives outlined by BYD at the start of each year have tremendous implications for the entire industryTheir initiatives range from achieving parity on fuel and electricity costs in 2023 to innovations such as lower electric prices in 2024, culminating in 2025’s ambitious "universal intelligent driving" objectives.
With the 100,000 to 200,000 yuan (approximately $15,000 to $30,000) price segment being BYD's niche market space, the consistent integration of the Heavenly Eye system across models is transforming the landscape, prompting other companies to follow suitThis turbulent yet exciting environment means that companies connected along the intelligent driving supply chain stand to gain significantly as the market rapidly evolves.
In parallel developments, competitors such as Tesla and Huawei are refining their urban NOA solutions, indicating the sustained momentum in the spaceThe upcoming launch of Huawei's upgraded HUAWEI ADS 3.0 in 2024 will offer enhanced capabilities through an updated network architecture that enables intelligent driving from parking space to parking space, autonomous self-parking, and moreLikewise, Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) software is expected to see remarkable advancements based on their recent financial disclosures.
In 2025, observers anticipate rapid strides for Tesla’s FSD, with projections for a fully autonomous mode to debut in CaliforniaMeanwhile, emerging players like XPeng and Li Auto, as well as third-party entities like Momenta and DJI, are continually refining their respective intelligent driving technologies, indicating that the penetration rate of urban NOA will progressively escalate.
The synergy between DeepSeek and companies like BYD is expected to play a monumental role in democratizing intelligent driving capabilities
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The fusion of affordability, technological breakthroughs, and market dynamics presents an opportunity for rapid growth in the adoption of high-level driving technologiesThe anticipated momentum towards equality in access to intelligent driving could be pronounced by 2025, which industry experts are declaring as a pivotal year for the sector.
From a technical standpoint, DeepSeek serves as a crucial enabler, lowering the barriers for firms to develop their own intelligent driving systems, thereby accelerating the iteration processThis innovative platform dramatically reduces the computational resources, time, and data needed for training large models through demand-driven parameters and application distillation techniquesThe reduction in computational needs for cloud training translates to decreased capital expenditures and cost-efficient chip requirements for vehicle operationsFor instance, the Qualcomm 8650 platform's processing needs have diminished to only 65% of its previous capacity when using DeepSeek.
Moreover, as mass production catalyzes high-end intelligent driving vehicles, economies of scale are expected to naturally lower the overall costs associated with these systemsConsumer-centric vehicle manufacturers are actively fostering intelligent driving equality, aligning their development strategies to facilitate a virtuous circle with consumers.
For example, Changan Automobile’s strategic rollout of their “Beidou Tianshu 2.0” initiative aims to accelerate equal access to intelligent driving technologiesTheir affiliate, Deep Blue Automotive, unveiled plans for their proprietary DEEPALADPRO, expected to launch with complete highway NOA capabilities come early 2025. Furthermore, BYD has committed to include high-level driving functionalities even in their most affordable offerings, further driving the democratization of technology.
As we reach a pivotal juncture in the technological landscape, intelligent driving chips could find themselves at a crossroads
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With the infusion of AI and pressure from leading automobile manufacturers, 2025 is poised for an explosive growth moment for intelligent driving, notably in the L2+ market which is predicted to almost double its current adoption rateAfter a three-year race for hardware supremacy, data and processing power have emerged as the core drivers of industry evolution.
The segmentation of intelligent driving chips into general-purpose chips and application-specific integrated circuits (ASIC) highlights the diverse needs of the industryWhile general-purpose GPUs like NVIDIA's Orin-X have dominated due to versatility, they often entail significant computational wastageConversely, ASIC chips leverage customized NPUs tailored for specific algorithms achieving astonishing efficiency with lower costsProjections indicate an increase in the share of chips within the intelligent driving Bill of Materials (BOM), soaring from 30% in 2024 to nearly 50% by 2026.
Currently, NVIDIA holds an oligopolistic grip over the high-level intelligent driving chip market, capturing more than 85% of the third-party market shareHowever, with anticipated consolidations in the model frameworks by 2024, ASIC designs are set to rise, promising robust growth rates that could exceed 70% annually over the next three years as the need for processing power escalates while cost constraints tighten.
Given the prevailing circumstances, leading automakers are likely to pivot toward developing their ASIC solutions to replace NVIDIA’s GPUs, aligning their technologies closely with proprietary algorithmsAs the nexus between ASIC and algorithm deepens, third-party products may struggle to adapt, solidifying in-house ASIC development as the pathway for leading players to optimize their intelligent driving chip solutionsThis evolution will undoubtedly characterize the transition towards a new frontier in the automotive technology landscape.
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